Maushold Damage Calculations
Exploring how Population Bomb's hit mechanics and accuracy boosts shape expected damage output.
Background and Description
Pokemon Scarlet and Violet introduced an interesting move in the newest generation. Population Bomb is a multi-hit move that continues until it misses or hits 10 times, which means accuracy boosts now directly scale damage.
I set out to calculate exactly how much damage this move does in expectation and how effective certain accuracy-boosting items are for it. This task uses summation tricks to generalize the geometric distribution.
Read the analysis
See the probability model and damage expectations for Population Bomb.